Global Leadership 2021: Russian Constitutional Referendum Likely to Solidify President Putin’s 2024 Re-Election Bid

Global Leadership 2021: Russian Constitutional Referendum Likely to Solidify President Putin’s 2024 Re-Election Bid

Ole Miss COSA
Global Leadership 2021, Russia

Russia’s constitutional referendum, to be held on an undetermined date, will likely solidify President Vladimir Putin’s ability to run for re-election in 2024. President Putin on 20 January 2020 proposed a set of constitutional amendments, including one which effectively resets Putin’s presidential term count to zero allowing him to serve as president for up to 12 more years. The Russian Parliament proceeded to approve the amendments. Hours after the State Duma approved the amendment’s final reading, 160 out of the 164 members of the Federation Council approved the bill.

Global Leadership 2021: DRC President Tshisekedi Very Likely to Remain in Power

Global Leadership 2021: DRC President Tshisekedi Very Likely to Remain in Power

Ole Miss COSA
Global Leadership 2021, Middle East and North Africa

Democratic Republic of the Congo President Felix Tshisekedi will very likely maintain the presidency through 2020. President Tshisekedi is the fifth president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and the first democratically elected president to experience a peaceful transition of power. Tshisekedi is unlikely to be removed from office by the start of 2021 as the DRC’s constitutional courts have demonstrated their support for the president and the traditionally ruling party has little incentive to remove him.

Global Leadership 2021: Effects of Peruvian Congressional Disillusionment on 2021 Election

Global Leadership 2021: Effects of Peruvian Congressional Disillusionment on 2021 Election

Ole Miss COSA
Global Leadership 2021, Latin America

On September 30, 2019, Peruvian President Martin Vizcarra dissolved the country’s Congress and called for a reelection after the legislative body repeatedly blocked both his calls for a congressional election and anti-corruption efforts. Peru’s newly elected Congress will unlikely have a major impact on legislation change in Peru; and, with no ruling political party and less support for the Popular Force, it is likely that there will not be a majority party in Congress following the 2021 general election.

Syria: COVID-19 Likely to Disproportionately and Substantial Impact Vulnerable Syrian Population

Syria: COVID-19 Likely to Disproportionately and Substantial Impact Vulnerable Syrian Population

Ole Miss COSA
Middle East and North Africa

The infected Syrian population will very likely multiply at an extreme rate, and Syria’s poor healthcare system will very likely result in a higher fatality rate than other countries, by April 01. Syria’s ongoing nine-year civil war has crippled the country’s medical facilities and hospitals, and Syrian authorities are ill-equipped to handle the impending COVID-19 crisis.

Russia: Moscow's Economic Threat to Estonia

Russia: Moscow's Economic Threat to Estonia

Ole Miss COSA
Russia

Russia is unlikely to utilize economic means to exert influence or affect Estonian sovereignty due to Estonia’s strong trade partnerships with the European Union and NATO and high degree of energy independence. Russia will likely pursue non-economic options if determined to affect Estonian sovereignty due to Moscow’s lack of economic leverage on Tallinn.

Russia: African Support in UN Likely due to Central African Republic Investment

Russia: African Support in UN Likely due to Central African Republic Investment

Ole Miss COSA
Russia

Russia is very likely to continue exerting political and military influence through defense presence in the Central African Republic in an effort to gain political leverage in Africa. Russia has made bilateral military deals with over 20 countries in Africa, however the Central African Republic has placed Russian advisers within their government including President Touadera’s national security advisory.

Infographic: The Crisis in Bolivia

Infographic: The Crisis in Bolivia

Ole Miss COSA
Latin America

On November 10, President Morales resigned due to military leaders and police officials demanding his withdrawal. In addition to President Morales, the top four officials in the chain of succession also resigned, leaving the presidency to Second Vice President of the Senate Jeanine Anez until January 22.

China: Gwadar Port Leads to Controversy and Expansion

China: Gwadar Port Leads to Controversy and Expansion

Ole Miss COSA
China

In 2015, China and Pakistan agreed to the Chinese-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a Chinese financed venture which seeks to construct infrastructure, energy, and telecommunications projects throughout Pakistan. This agreement is part of China’s larger Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) that China is currently invested in throughout Asia, Africa, and the Middle East.

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