All in Latin America
In response to the large number of refugees fleeing dangerous conditions in Venezuela, Secretary of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas has upgraded Venezuelan refugees to Temporary Protected Status (TPS) until September 2022. This status allows refugees who have been continuously living in the United States since March 8, 2021 the ability to live and work in the country for an extended period of time.
The upcoming Bolivian presidential election, the first since Evo Morales’s resignation, will decide whether Bolivia will elect another member from Morales’s party or turn away Morales and his allies.
On September 30, 2019, Peruvian President Martin Vizcarra dissolved the country’s Congress and called for a reelection after the legislative body repeatedly blocked both his calls for a congressional election and anti-corruption efforts. Peru’s newly elected Congress will unlikely have a major impact on legislation change in Peru; and, with no ruling political party and less support for the Popular Force, it is likely that there will not be a majority party in Congress following the 2021 general election.
Jeanine Anez will unlikely be the next Bolivian president due to remaining support for Evo Morales.
On November 10, President Morales resigned due to military leaders and police officials demanding his withdrawal. In addition to President Morales, the top four officials in the chain of succession also resigned, leaving the presidency to Second Vice President of the Senate Jeanine Anez until January 22.
Alberto Fernandez will likely win the October 27 Argentine election due to high voter confidence and optimistic view of the candidate’s economic policies.
Argentine presidential candidate Alberto Fernandez will likely be strongly influenced by running-mate Cristina Kirchner, likely resulting in economic instability associated with the financial sector fearing a return to control economics.
Russian economic and diplomatic support will likely ensure Maduro retains power through April 30, 2019, while simultaneously impeding opposition efforts to usurp the regime.
