Exploring the size, scope, and shape of China’s economic-based foreign policy project: The Belt and Road Initiative.
All by Ole Miss COSA
Exploring the size, scope, and shape of China’s economic-based foreign policy project: The Belt and Road Initiative.
Sudan’s transitional government will be holding peace talks with the Sudanese Revolutionary Front (SRF) from October 14 to December 14.
Russia will likely utilize Turkey’s offensive on Syrian territory by attempting to initiate and mediate talks between Turkey, the Syrian government, and the Syrian Kurds as a way to gain geopolitical influence in the Middle East.
Argentine presidential candidate Alberto Fernandez will likely be strongly influenced by running-mate Cristina Kirchner, likely resulting in economic instability associated with the financial sector fearing a return to control economics.
The Russian-Ukrainian prisoner exchange on September 7 will likely set the stage for future peace talks in an effort to end the war in Donbass.
Moscow and Kiev will likely participate in peace talks before the end of 2019 as President Putin and President Zelensky have recently expressed willingness and made tangible strides to normalize relations.
China is likely to continue forming partnerships with African countries in order to spread Chinese-backed AI surveillance equipment throughout the region.
Saudi Arabia is unlikely to directly retaliate militarily against Iran in response to the recent attacks on Saudi Arabia’s Aramco oil facilities.
Russian suspension of the INF Treaty suggests Russia is likely to focus on the development of nuclear capable missile systems in order to limit NATO reactions to recent Russian territorial acquisitions.
Iran is likely to shift the focus of its Syrian influence-operations by redirecting its assets to rural eastern towns in Syria, which is likely in reaction to Russian gains, and if successful is almost certain to result in multiple key Iranian foreign policy victories.
Chinese investment in Italy has an even chance of making Italy economically dependent on China, which is likely to influence Italy to support and defend China in the European Union.
Russian economic and diplomatic support will likely ensure Maduro retains power through April 30, 2019, while simultaneously impeding opposition efforts to usurp the regime.
Extremist opposition rebel groups are likely to capitalize on the newly distracted and thinned out SDF, Regime, Turkish, Russian, and Iranian forces by expanding their sphere of influence outside of Idlib as the United States begins its disengagement.
Russia’s sales of the S-400 defense system are likely to pose a strategic threat to the United States and its allies because the respective sales expand economic and trade opportunities for Russia, which is likely to solidify Russia’s relations with various countries while undermining relations with the United States.
